Seismic hazard assessment on NPP sites in Taiwan through an observation-oriented Monte Carlo simulation

Jui Pin Wang, Duruo Huang

研究成果: 書貢獻/報告類型會議論文篇章同行評審

摘要

This paper uses Monte Carlo Simulation to evaluate the seismic hazard in two nuclear power plants sites in Taiwan. This approach is different from the two commonly-used methods, featuring the direct use of observed earthquakes to develop magnitude and distance probability functions. Those earthquakes with larger sizes and closer to the site are considered capable of causing damage on engineered structures. The result shows that even though two NPP sites in Taiwan are only 30 km away from each other, NPP site 4 is situated with the seismic hazard four-time as large as NPP site 1. Given our limited understanding and the complicated, random earthquake process, none of a seismic hazard analysis is perfect without challenge. The accountability of seismic hazard analysis relates to analytical transparency, traceability, etc., not to analytical complexity and popularity.

原文???core.languages.en_GB???
主出版物標題Scalable Uncertainty Management - 6th International Conference, SUM 2012, Proceedings
頁面641-646
頁數6
DOIs
出版狀態已出版 - 2012
事件6th International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management, SUM 2012 - Marburg, Germany
持續時間: 17 9月 201219 9月 2012

出版系列

名字Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
7520 LNAI
ISSN(列印)0302-9743
ISSN(電子)1611-3349

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???event.eventtypes.event.conference???6th International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management, SUM 2012
國家/地區Germany
城市Marburg
期間17/09/1219/09/12

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