TY - JOUR
T1 - On choosing a single criterion for confidence-interval procedures
AU - Schmeiser, Bruce
AU - Yeh, Yingchieh
PY - 2002
Y1 - 2002
N2 - Stating a confidence interval is a traditional method of indicating the sampling error of a point estimator of a model's performance measure. We propose a single dimensionless criterion, inspired by Schruben's coverage function, for evaluating and comparing the statistical quality of confidence-interval procedures. Procedure quality is usually thought to be multidimensional, composed of the mean (and maybe the variance) of the interval-width distribution and the probability of covering the performance measure (and maybe other values). Our criterion, which we argue lies at the heart of what makes a confidence-interval procedure good or bad, compares a given procedure's intervals to those of an "ideal" procedure. For a given point estimator (such as the sample mean) and given experimental data process (such as a first-order autoregressive process with specified parameters), our single criterion is a function of only the sample size (or other rule that ends sampling).
AB - Stating a confidence interval is a traditional method of indicating the sampling error of a point estimator of a model's performance measure. We propose a single dimensionless criterion, inspired by Schruben's coverage function, for evaluating and comparing the statistical quality of confidence-interval procedures. Procedure quality is usually thought to be multidimensional, composed of the mean (and maybe the variance) of the interval-width distribution and the probability of covering the performance measure (and maybe other values). Our criterion, which we argue lies at the heart of what makes a confidence-interval procedure good or bad, compares a given procedure's intervals to those of an "ideal" procedure. For a given point estimator (such as the sample mean) and given experimental data process (such as a first-order autoregressive process with specified parameters), our single criterion is a function of only the sample size (or other rule that ends sampling).
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0036923789&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - 會議論文
AN - SCOPUS:0036923789
SN - 0275-0708
VL - 1
SP - 345
EP - 352
JO - Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings
JF - Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings
T2 - Proceedings of the 2002 Winter Simulation Conference
Y2 - 8 December 2002 through 11 December 2002
ER -