OBM confidence intervals: Something for nothing?

Yingchieh Yeh, Bruce Schmeiser

研究成果: 書貢獻/報告類型會議論文篇章同行評審

摘要

Since the 1950s, nonoverlapping batch means (NBM) has been a basis for confidence-interval procedures (CIPs) for the mean of a steady-state time series. In 1985, overlapping batch means (OBM) was introduced as an alternative to NBM for estimating the standard error of the sample mean. Despite OBM's inherent efficiency, because the OBM statistic does not approach normality via the chi-squared distribution, no OBM CIP was introduced. We define two fixed-sample-size OBM CIPs. OBM1 is based on the result that asymptotically OBM has half again as many degrees of freedom as NBM. OBM2 does the same, but increases degrees of freedom. We argue that OBM's sampling distribution has skewness and kurtosis closer to normal than the chi-squared distribution. We show experimentally that for AR(1) processes the OBM CIPs perform better than NBM CIPs in terms of classic criteria and the VAMP1RE criterion. Finally, we introduce the concept of VAMP1RE-optimal batch sizes.

原文???core.languages.en_GB???
主出版物標題2015 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2015
發行者Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
頁面551-561
頁數11
ISBN(電子)9781467397438
DOIs
出版狀態已出版 - 16 2月 2016
事件Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2015 - Huntington Beach, United States
持續時間: 6 12月 20159 12月 2015

出版系列

名字Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
2016-February
ISSN(列印)0891-7736

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???event.eventtypes.event.conference???Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2015
國家/地區United States
城市Huntington Beach
期間6/12/159/12/15

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