Long-lead-time prediction of storm surge using effective controlling parameters and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system approach

Wei Ting Chao, Chih Chieh Young, Chian Yi Liu

研究成果: 書貢獻/報告類型會議論文篇章同行評審

摘要

Accurate prediction of typhoon-induced surge is an important issue for coastal disaster prevention. The purpose of this study is to develop a long-lead-time prediction model for storm surge by using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system approach (ANFIS). We carefully select effective controlling parameters, including the maximum wind speed, central pressure deficit, radius of maximum wind, location of typhoon center to the tidal station (i.e., distance and angle). In addition, the forward speed and direction of typhoon are considered to improve the long-lead-time prediction. The prediction performances are examined and discussed. Overall, predictions up to t + 9 hour ahead of lead time are satisfactory (with correlation coefficient CC > 0.7).

原文???core.languages.en_GB???
主出版物標題Proceedings of the 29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, ISOPE 2019
編輯Jin S. Chung, Odd M. Akselsen, HyunWoo Jin, Hiroyasu Kawai, Yongwon Lee, Dmitri Matskevitch, Suak Ho Van, Decheng Wan, Alan M. Wang, Satoru Yamaguchi
發行者International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers
頁面3740-3745
頁數6
ISBN(列印)9781880653852
出版狀態已出版 - 2019
事件29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, ISOPE 2019 - Honolulu, United States
持續時間: 16 6月 201921 6月 2019

出版系列

名字Proceedings of the International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference
3
ISSN(列印)1098-6189
ISSN(電子)1555-1792

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???event.eventtypes.event.conference???29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, ISOPE 2019
國家/地區United States
城市Honolulu
期間16/06/1921/06/19

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