Earthquake probability in Taipei based on non-local model with limited local observation: Maximum likelihood estimation

J. P. Wang, Yun Xu, Yih Min Wu

研究成果: 雜誌貢獻期刊論文同行評審

5 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

Many earthquake empirical models were developed based on the statistics in the past. However, it is commonly seen that a non-local model was applied to a local study without any adjustment. In this paper, a new algorithm using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to adjust a non-local model for local applications was presented, including a case study assessing the probability of major earthquake occurrences in Taipei. Specifically, considering the fault length of 36 km and slip rate of 2 mm/yr, it suggests the Sanchiao (or Shanchiao) fault could induce a major earthquake with magnitude Mw 7.14±0.17, based on a non-local model integrated with limited local data using the MLE algorithms.

原文???core.languages.en_GB???
頁(從 - 到)150-156
頁數7
期刊Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering
99
DOIs
出版狀態已出版 - 1 8月 2017

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