Damped oscillatory behaviors in the ratios of stock market indices

研究成果: 書貢獻/報告類型篇章同行評審

摘要

This article reviews a recent finding on the properties of stock market indices (Wu, Europhys Lett 97:48009, 2012). A stock market index is an average of a group of stock prices with equal or unequal weights. Different stock market indices derived from various combinations of stocks are not expected to have fixed relations among them. From analyzing the daily index ratios of Dow Jones Industry Average (DJIA), NASDAQ, and S&P500 from 1971/02/05 to 2011/06/30 using the empirical mode decomposition, we found that the ratios NASDAQ/DJIA and S&P500/DJIA, normalized to 1971/02/05, approached and then retained the values of 2 and 1, respectively. The temporal variations of the ratios consist of global trends and oscillatory components including a damped oscillation in 8-year cycle and damping factors of 7183 days (NASDAQ/DJIA) and 138,471 days (S&P500/DJIA). Anomalies in the ratios, corresponding to significant increases and decreases of indices, are local events appearing only in the time scale less than 8-year cycle. The converge of the dominant damped oscillatory component implies that representative stocks in the pair-markets become more coherent as time evolves.

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主出版物標題Springer Proceedings in Complexity
發行者Springer
頁面51-62
頁數12
DOIs
出版狀態已出版 - 2015

出版系列

名字Springer Proceedings in Complexity
ISSN(列印)2213-8684
ISSN(電子)2213-8692

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