Comparison the prognostic value of galectin-3 and serum markers of cardiac extracellular matrix turnover in patients with chronic systolic heart failure

Background: Galectin-3 (Gal-3) shows the ability of survival prediction in heart failure (HF) patients. However, Gal-3 is strongly associated with serum markers of cardiac extracellular matrix (ECM) turnover. The aim of this study is to compare the impact of Gal-3 and serum markers of cardiac ECM turnover on prognostic prediction of chronic systolic HF patients. Methods: Serum Gal-3, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), extracellular matrix including type I and III aminoterminal propeptide of procollagen (PINP and PIIINP), matrix metalloproteinase-2, 9 (MMP-2, 9), and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) were analyzed. Cox regression analysis was used for survival analysis. Results: A total of 105 (81 male) patients were enrolled. During 980±346 days follow-up, 17 patients died and 36 episodes of HF admission happened. Mortality of these patients was significantly associated with the log PIIINP (β= 15.380; P=0.042), log TIMP-1(β= 44.530; P=0.003), log MMP-2 (β= 554.336; P<0.001), log BNP (β= 28.273; P=0.034). Log Gal-3 (β= 7.484; P=0.066) is borderline associated with mortality. Mortality or first HF admission of these patients was significantly associated with the log TIMP-1(β= 16.496; P=0.006), log MMP-2 (β= 221.864; P<0.001), log BNP (β= 5.999; P=0.034). Log Gal-3 (β= 4.486; P=0.095) only showed borderline significance. In several models adjusting clinical parameters, log MMP-2 was significantly associated with clinical outcome. In contrast, log Gal-3 was not. Conclusion: The prognostic strength of MMP-2 to clinical outcome prediction in HF patients is stronger than Gal-3.