Statistical Comparison ARIMA Order Performance In Stock Market

  • Chanatip Deemee
  • , Kirati Ngampis
  • , Thanapon Noraset
  • , Tipajin Thaipisutikul
  • , Min Te Sun
  • , Kotcharat Kitchat

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Stock market forecasting is important for financial decision-making and risk management. Among the various time series models, the Autoregressive (p) Integrated (d) Moving Average (q) (ARIMA) model has been widely adopted for its simplicity and effectiveness in capturing temporal patterns. However, selecting appropriate ARIMA orders remains a crucial and challenging task, impacting the accuracy of predictions. This paper presents a comprehensive statistical comparison of ARIMA order performance in the context of stock market forecasting. We examine the impact of different ARIMA model orders. Our study utilizes historic New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stock price data. Our findings shed light on the complex interplay between ARIMA parameters and predictive accuracy, offering valuable insights for robust financial forecasting.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication7th International Conference on Information Technology, InCIT 2023
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages81-85
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9798350358698
DOIs
StatePublished - 2023
Event7th International Conference on Information Technology, InCIT 2023 - Chiang Rai, Thailand
Duration: 15 Nov 202317 Nov 2023

Publication series

Name7th International Conference on Information Technology, InCIT 2023

Conference

Conference7th International Conference on Information Technology, InCIT 2023
Country/TerritoryThailand
CityChiang Rai
Period15/11/2317/11/23

Keywords

  • ARIMA model
  • Historical Stock data
  • Stock Market
  • Stock price forecast
  • Stock price prediction

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