Intraday volatility in the Taipei FX market

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Abstract

This paper characterizes the volatility in the Taipei foreign exchange (FX) market based on a 4-year sample of 15-minute NTD (New Taiwan dollar)/USD exchange rates from 1996 through 1999. To identify the pattern of intraday volatility in NTD/USD exchange rate changes, the impacts of scheduled macroeconomic news releases in Taiwan and the U.S. are considered. In this paper, the periodic GARCH (P-GARCH) model and the dummy variable approach are combined together to capture the more complicated periodic structure of the intraday volatility in the NTD/USD exchange rate changes. The estimation results suggest that the doubly U-shaped pattern in the Taipei FX market, associated with separate morning and afternoon sessions due to a 2-hour lunch break, can only be partly explained by the scheduled news announcements.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)471-487
Number of pages17
JournalPacific Basin Finance Journal
Volume13
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2005

Keywords

  • Intraday volatility
  • Macroeconomic announcements
  • Periodic GARCH

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