Easy money and competitive industries’ booms and busts

Longfei Shang, Ji Chai Lin, Nan Yang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Studies have documented that firms in competitive industries tend to invest inefficiently and suffer from booms and busts. We extend the literature by showing that high-sentiment signals from credit markets, an indication of easy money available, prompt firms in competitive industries to borrow and invest more than usual. The resulting excess investments collectively lead to overcapacity and, consequently, to declines in competing firms’ operating and financial performance. In contrast, we find that easy money does not lead to excess investments in consolidated industries. Our findings suggest that competitive industries’ booms and busts are largely driven by easy money from credit markets, and that (easy) financing contributes to their investment inefficiency problem.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)65-85
Number of pages21
JournalJournal of Empirical Finance
Volume73
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2023

Keywords

  • Boom-and-bust cycle
  • Credit market sentiment
  • Industry competition
  • Investment inefficiency

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