Damped oscillations in the ratios of stock market indices

Ming Chya Wu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

13 Scopus citations

Abstract

A stock market index is an average of a group of stock prices with weights. Different stock market indices derived from various combinations of stocks may share similar trends in certain periods, while it is not expected that there are fixed relations among them. Here we report our investigations on the daily index data of Dow Jones Industry Average (DJIA), NASDAQ, and S&P500 from 1971/02/05 to 2011/06/30. By analyzing the index ratios using the empirical mode decomposition, we find that the ratios NASDAQ/DJIA and S&500/DJIA, normalized to 1971/02/05, approached and then retained the values of 2 and 1, respectively. The temporal variations of the ratios consist of global trends and oscillatory components including a damped oscillation in 8-year cycle and damping factors of 7183 days (NASDAQ/DJIA) and 138471 days (S&P500/DJIA). Anomalies in the ratios, corresponding to significant increases and decreases of indices, only appear in the time scale less than an 8-year cycle. Detrended fluctuation analysis and multiscale entropy analysis of the components with cycles less than a half-year manifest a behavior of self-adjustment in the ratios, and the behavior in S&500/DJIA is more significant than in NASDAQ/DJIA.

Original languageEnglish
Article number48009
JournalEPL
Volume97
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 2012

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