Correlations between earthquake magnitudes and fault rupture parameters with multiple regression analysis

Y. Xu, J. P. Wang

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Catastrophic earthquakes may result in hundreds and thousands of casualties. For example, the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake in Taiwan caused 2,415 deaths and 11,305 injuries. With no direct stress/strain measurements on the rock beneath the ground surface, statistical analysis of historical earthquake data becomes one of the possible alternatives to help estimate the future earthquakes potentials, such as developing empirical relationships. Most previous studies evaluated earthquake potentials from fault rupture parameters using simple linear regression models. However, multiple regression analysis associated with more parameters is proved capable of reducing model error of empirical relationships, in otherwords, improving the accuracy of predictions. As a result, this study re-visited historical earthquake data in literature and proposed a new empirical model with multiple regression analysis.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationComputer Methods and Recent Advances in Geomechanics - Proc. of the 14th International Conference of International Association for Computer Methods and Recent Advances in Geomechanics, IACMAG 2014
PublisherTaylor and Francis - Balkema
Pages857-862
Number of pages6
ISBN (Print)9781138001480
StatePublished - 2015
Event14th International Conference of International Association for Computer Methods and Recent Advances in Geomechanics, IACMAG 2014 - Kyoto, Japan
Duration: 22 Sep 201425 Sep 2014

Publication series

NameComputer Methods and Recent Advances in Geomechanics - Proceedings of the 14th Int. Conference of International Association for Computer Methods and Recent Advances in Geomechanics, IACMAG 2014

Conference

Conference14th International Conference of International Association for Computer Methods and Recent Advances in Geomechanics, IACMAG 2014
Country/TerritoryJapan
CityKyoto
Period22/09/1425/09/14

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