臺灣暴潮預報溢淹模式精準度量化研究 (1/3)

In the context of future global warming and the increasing probability of potential strong typhoons, countries worldwide are paying more attention to the study of storm surge science. The Central Weather Bureau has taken the initiative to establish a complete, fast, and accurate storm surge forecast system. The storm surge ensemble forecast system and related probability products were also successfully developed to cope with the uncertainties of typhoon's intensity, tracks, and associated physical factors.Aiming at the current storm surge forecast system developed, this project is expected to update the system equipment hardware and model methodologies in order to further improve the accuracy and efficiency of the existing forecasting system, including tuning parameterized wind field models, developing second-generation ensemble forecasting models, and the analysis of the influence of tide station location on the accuracy of storm tide forecasting. The research will provide detailed and accurate storm tide forecast information for people in coastal areas, in order to achieve the purpose of disaster reduction and prevention, and reduce the loss of life and property.